Capdevila, P. orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-4302, O’Brien, D. orcid.org/0000-0002-3420-5210, Marconi, V. orcid.org/0000-0001-7443-0255 et al. (4 more authors) (2026) Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss. Science Advances, 12 (7). eadx7973.
Abstract
Conservation policies aiming to halt biodiversity loss often focus on globally prevalent threats like habitat loss and exploitation, yet direct and interactive effects of multiple threats remain poorly quantified. Here, we go beyond prior meta-analyses or species-level studies by providing a global, population-level empirical analysis of threat interactions by examining 3129 vertebrate population time series worldwide with documented exposure to single and multiple threats. Populations affected solely by habitat loss or exploitation do not exhibit the steepest declines; instead, disease, invasive species, pollution, and climate change are associated with faster declines. Interactive threats contribute more to population declines than temporal or spatial variation. Counterfactual analyses reveal that mitigating multiple threats is essential to achieving nonnegative vertebrate population trends and halting biodiversity loss.
Metadata
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Authors/Creators: |
|
| Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2026 The Authors. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Dates: |
|
| Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
| Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Science (Sheffield) > School of Biosciences (Sheffield) |
| Date Deposited: | 13 Feb 2026 15:57 |
| Last Modified: | 13 Feb 2026 15:57 |
| Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adx7973 |
| Status: | Published |
| Publisher: | American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Identification Number: | 10.1126/sciadv.adx7973 |
| Related URLs: | |
| Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:237973 |
Download
Filename: sciadv.adx7973.pdf
Licence: CC-BY 4.0

CORE (COnnecting REpositories)
CORE (COnnecting REpositories)