Pinho, Patricia, Silvestrini, RA, Fellows, M et al. (6 more authors) (2025) “Vulnerabilities and compound risks of escalating climate disasters in the Brazilian Amazon”. Nature Communications. 11579. ISSN: 2041-1723
Abstract
The Brazilian Amazon is severely impacted by extreme climate events, with 1.8 million people (6.4% of the Brazilian Amazon’s population) affected by climate-related disasters each year between 2018 and 2022. Yet, how climate disasters specifically affect human populations in different municipalities in the Amazon is underexplored. We target this gap, presenting a region-wide spatiotemporal assessment of climate-related disasters and social vulnerability across the Brazilian Amazon over the period 2000–2022, considering floods, droughts, heatwaves, fires, and landslides, and using a compound risk lens. Analysis of secondary data shows disaster frequency surged, with wet events rising fivefold, fires tenfold, and droughts and heatwaves tripling. Economic losses rose 370% reaching USD 634.2 million annually, with wet events most damaging. Farming sustained over 60% of total losses, followed by infrastructure, housing, and health services. Smaller municipalities, which host 61% of the region’s Indigenous population, experienced the highest relative impacts, including a 9.58% loss in economic growth and lower Social Progress Index scores. Data on non-economic losses and damages were lacking, but further exacerbated the impacts in these vulnerable areas. Findings underscore that climate change is a poverty multiplier, and highlight the urgent need for adaptation policy interventions to be justice-centered.
Metadata
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Authors/Creators: |
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| Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2025. |
| Dates: |
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| Institution: | The University of York |
| Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Environment and Geography (York) The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Biology (York) |
| Date Deposited: | 07 Jan 2026 17:00 |
| Last Modified: | 07 Jan 2026 17:00 |
| Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66603-0 |
| Status: | Published |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Identification Number: | 10.1038/s41467-025-66603-0 |
| Related URLs: | |
| Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:236283 |
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Filename: s41467-025-66603-0.pdf
Description: Vulnerabilities and compound risks of escalating climate disasters in the Brazilian Amazon
Licence: CC-BY 2.5

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