Liu, W, Li, X, Zhang, F orcid.org/0000-0003-3584-4679 et al. (1 more author) (2017) Interactive travel choices and traffic forecast in a doubly dynamical system with user inertia and information provision. Transportation Research, Part C: Emerging Technologies, 85. pp. 711-731. ISSN 0968-090X
Abstract
This study models the joint evolution (over calendar time) of travelers’ departure time and mode choices, and the resulting traffic dynamics in a bi-modal transportation system. Specifically, we consider that, when adjusting their departure time and mode choices, travelers can learn from their past travel experiences as well as the traffic forecasts offered by the smart transport information provider/agency. At the same time, the transport agency can learn from historical data in updating traffic forecast from day to day. In other words, this study explicitly models and analyzes the dynamic interactions between transport users and traffic information provider. Besides, the impact of user inertia is taken into account in modeling the traffic dynamics. When exploring the convergence of the proposed model to the dynamic bi-modal commuting equilibrium, we find that appropriate traffic forecast can help the system converge to the user equilibrium. It is also found that user inertia might slow down the convergence speed of the day-to-day evolution model. Extensive sensitivity analysis is conducted to account for the impacts of inaccurate parameters adopted by the transport agency.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | (c) 2017, Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This is an author produced version of a paper published in Transportation Research, Part C: Emerging Technologies. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Bottleneck model; Day-to-day dynamics; Traffic forecast; Bi-modal; User inertia |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > Institute for Transport Studies (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 20 Oct 2017 10:16 |
Last Modified: | 01 Nov 2018 01:38 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.trc.2017.10.021 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:122914 |