Estimate of a spatially variable reservoir compressibility by assimilation of ground surface displacement data

Abstract. Fluid extraction from producing hydrocarbon reservoirs can cause anthropogenic land subsidence. In this work, a 3-D finite-element (FE) geomechanical model is used to predict the land surface displacements above a gas field where displacement observations are available. An ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) algorithm is implemented that incorporates these observations into the response of the FE geomechanical model, thus re- ducing the uncertainty on the geomechanical parameters of the sedimentary basin embedding the reservoir. The calibration focuses on the uniaxial vertical compressibility c M , which is often the geomechanical parameter to which the model response is most sensitive. The partition of the reservoir into blocks delimited by faults moti- vates the assumption of a heterogeneous spatial distribution of c M within the reservoir. A preliminary synthetic test case is here used to evaluate the effectiveness of the DA algorithm in reducing the parameter uncertainty associated with a heterogeneous c M distribution. A significant improvement in matching the observed data is obtained with respect to the case in which a homogeneous c M is hypothesized. These preliminary results are quite encouraging and call for the application of the procedure to real gas fields.