Konar, M, Muneepeerakul, R, Azaele, S et al. (3 more authors) (2010) Potential impacts of precipitation change on large-scale patterns of tree diversity. Water Resources Research, 46 (11). W11515. ISSN 0043-1397
Abstract
Forests are globally important ecosystems host to outstanding biological diversity. Widespread efforts have addressed the impacts of climate change on biodiversity in these ecosystems. We show that a metacommunity model founded on basic ecological processes offers direct linkage from large-scale forcing, such as precipitation, to tree diversity patterns of the Mississippi-Missouri River System and its subregions. We quantify changes in tree diversity patterns under various projected precipitation patterns, resulting in a range of responses. Uncertainties accompanying global climate models necessitate the use of scenarios of biodiversity. Here we present results from scenarios with the largest losses and gains in tree diversity. Our results suggest that species losses under scenarios with the most dramatic contractions tend to be greater in magnitude, spatial extent, and statistical significance than gains under alternative scenarios. These findings are expected to have important implications for conservation policy and resource management.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | (c) 2010, American Geophysical Union. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. Konar, M, Muneepeerakul, R, Azaele, S, Bertuzzo, E, Rinaldo, A and Rodriguez-Iturbe, I (2010), Potential impacts of precipitation change on large-scale patterns of tree diversity. Water Resources Research, 46 (11). W11515. 10.1029/2010WR009384. To view the published open abstract, go to http://dx.doi.org and enter the DOI |
Keywords: | climate change; hydrology; biodiversity; precipitation; neutral model |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Engineering & Physical Sciences (Leeds) > School of Mathematics (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 21 May 2014 09:03 |
Last Modified: | 21 Jan 2018 09:05 |
Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010WR009384 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | American Geophysical Union |
Identification Number: | 10.1029/2010WR009384 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:78944 |