Gosling, JP orcid.org/0000-0002-4072-3022, Hart, A, Owen, H et al. (3 more authors) (2013) A Bayes Linear Approach to Weight-of-Evidence Risk Assessment for Skin Allergy. Bayesian Analysis, 8 (1). pp. 169-186. ISSN 1936-0975
Abstract
We introduce a strategy for quantifying and synthesising uncertainty about elements of a risk assessment using Bayes linear methods. We view the population of subjective belief structures and the use of Bayes linear adjustments as a flexible and transparent tool for risk assessors who want to quantify their uncertainty about hazard based on disparate sources of information. For motivation, we use an application of the strategy to human skin sensitisation risk assessment where there are many competing sources of information available.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | (c) 2013, International Society for Bayesian Analysis. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Bayes linear kinematics; Bayes linear methods; risk assessment; skin sensitisation; subjective judgement; weight-of-evidence |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Engineering & Physical Sciences (Leeds) > School of Mathematics (Leeds) > Statistics (Leeds) The University of Leeds > Faculty of Engineering & Physical Sciences (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 15 Apr 2014 09:22 |
Last Modified: | 20 Jun 2021 08:37 |
Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-BA807 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | International Society for Bayesian Analysis |
Identification Number: | 10.1214/13-BA807 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:43760 |