Wiltshire, A, Bernie, D, Gohar, L et al. (3 more authors) (2022) Post COP26: does the 1.5°C climate target remain alive? Weather, 77 (12). pp. 412-417. ISSN 0043-1656
Abstract
One of the COP26 aims was to keep 1.5°C within reach by asking countries to come forward with ambitious year 2030 emission reductions targets to further pursue the necessary action to meet the Paris climate targets. We assess the mean global temperature rise given the updated year 2030 emission pledges in the context of future emission pathways considered by the international scientific community. Overall, we find current pledges are not consistent with a likely meeting of 1.5°C this century without overshoot. Meeting the 1.5°C goal in 2100 post overshoot given the pledges remains feasible, but urgent action is required to ensure pledges are met and policies are in place for the very deep and rapid emission reductions that are required post 2030.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2022 Crown copyright. Weather © 2022 Royal Meteorological Society. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes. |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Inst for Climate & Atmos Science (ICAS) (Leeds) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number NERC (Natural Environment Research Council) NE/T009381/1 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 18 Nov 2022 10:20 |
Last Modified: | 25 Jun 2023 23:09 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Identification Number: | 10.1002/wea.4331 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:193322 |
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