Rogelj, J, Forster, PM, Kriegler, E et al. (2 more authors) (2019) Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets. Nature, 571 (7765). pp. 335-342. ISSN 0028-0836
Abstract
Research reported during the past decade has shown that global warming is roughly proportional to the total amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere. This makes it possible to estimate the remaining carbon budget: the total amount of anthropogenic carbon dioxide that can still be emitted into the atmosphere while holding the global average temperature increase to the limit set by the Paris Agreement. However, a wide range of estimates for the remaining carbon budget has been reported, reducing the effectiveness of the remaining carbon budget as a means of setting emission reduction targets that are consistent with the Paris Agreement. Here we present a framework that enables us to track estimates of the remaining carbon budget and to understand how these estimates can improve over time as scientific knowledge advances. We propose that application of this framework may help to reconcile differences between estimates of the remaining carbon budget and may provide a basis for reducing uncertainty in the range of future estimates.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © Springer Nature Limited 2019. This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Nature. The final authenticated version is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z |
Keywords: | Climate change; Climate-change mitigation; Climate sciences |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Inst for Climate & Atmos Science (ICAS) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 23 Jul 2019 11:53 |
Last Modified: | 17 Jan 2020 01:40 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Nature Research |
Identification Number: | 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:148828 |
Commentary/Response Threads
- Rogelj, J, Forster, PM, Kriegler, E, Smith, CJ and Séférian, R Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets. (deposited 23 Jul 2019 11:53) [Currently Displayed]