James, Alex, Binny, Rachelle N, Lee, William G et al. (3 more authors) (2019) Predicting water levels in ephemeral wetlands under climate change scenarios. Theoretical Ecology. ISSN 1874-1738
Abstract
Ephemeral wetlands or kettle holes contain an often unique biodiversity of flora and fauna. In New Zealand they can be an important breeding ground for iconic taonga species such as kakī/black stilt. Understanding the possible effects of climate change on the holes is a challenge as there is often limited information on the local hydrology, restricting the applicability of established hydrological models. We present a mathematical model that is parameterized using only recent rainfall data and water level. We assess the efficacy of our model to predict water levels under current climatic conditions and then explore the effects of a range of simple climate change scenarios. Our simple but effective modelling approach could be easily used in other situations where complex data and modelling expertise are unavailable.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © Springer Nature B.V. 2019. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details |
Keywords: | kettlehole, stochastic model, climate change |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Biology (York) |
Depositing User: | Dr E P Holland |
Date Deposited: | 24 Jan 2019 09:18 |
Last Modified: | 28 Feb 2020 01:38 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-019-0409-4 |
Status: | Published online |
Publisher: | Springer |
Refereed: | Yes |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:141538 |