Pina-Sánchez, J, Gosling, JP orcid.org/0000-0002-4072-3022, Chung, H-I et al. (3 more authors) (2019) Have The England and Wales Guidelines Affected Sentencing Severity? An Empirical Analysis Using a Scale of Severity and Time-Series Analyses. British Journal of Criminology, 59 (4). pp. 979-1001. ISSN 0007-0955
Abstract
Sentence severity has increased in England and Wales in recent years. The causes of the increase remain unclear. One possible explanation relates to the introduction of sentencing guidelines, which seem to coincide in time with the increase in sentence severity. To date, investigations of this hypothesis have been limited to simple exploratory analyses or to specific offences. We use a new scale of sentence severity—developed using Thurstone scaling and the participation of 21 magistrates—and time-series modelling to explore whether a causal effect can be attributed to seven different guidelines. We corroborate the existence of an increase in sentence severity; however, we do not find conclusive evidence pointing at the guidelines having caused it.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2019, The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Centre for Crime and Justice Studies (ISTD). All rights reserved. This is an author produced version of a paper published in The British Journal of Criminology. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model). |
Keywords: | Sentencing; severity; guidelines; time-series; Thurstone |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Law (Leeds) The University of Leeds > Faculty of Engineering & Physical Sciences (Leeds) > School of Mathematics (Leeds) > Statistics (Leeds) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number ESRC Not Known |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 02 Jan 2019 12:04 |
Last Modified: | 28 Feb 2021 01:38 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Oxford University Press |
Identification Number: | 10.1093/bjc/azz005 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:140337 |
Commentary/Response Threads
- Pina-Sánchez, J, Gosling, JP, Chung, H-I, Bourgeois, E, Geneletti, S and Marder, ID Have The England and Wales Guidelines Affected Sentencing Severity? An Empirical Analysis Using a Scale of Severity and Time-Series Analyses. (deposited 02 Jan 2019 12:04) [Currently Displayed]