Gravelle, Hugh Stanley Emrys orcid.org/0000-0002-7753-4233, Dusheiko, Mark Alan, Martin, Stephen et al. (3 more authors) (2011) Modelling Individual Patient Hospital Expenditure for General Practice Budgets. Discussion Paper. CHE Research Paper . Centre for Health Economics, University of York , York, UK.
Abstract
The English NHS has introduced a system of budgets for general practices covering hospital expenditure for the patients on their lists. We model individual expenditure using diagnostic information from previous hospital spells, plus a large set of attributed variables measuring population, general practice, and local hospital characteristics. We show that, despite the large proportion of zero expenditures and the heavy right tail of expenditures, estimating models of untransformed expenditure via OLS yields better predictions at practice level than one or two part models using OLS with transformed expenditure or Generalised Linear Models. We describe a procedure for setting budgets for general practices which reduces the problem of the lags in the available data. We examine the distinction between need and non-need variables and the incentive implications of allowing past numbers of hospital encounters to determine practice budgets.
Metadata
Item Type: | Monograph |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > Centre for Health Economics (York) The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > Economics and Related Studies (York) The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > Centre for Health Economics (York) > CHE Research Papers (York) |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 03 Oct 2018 16:20 |
Last Modified: | 16 Oct 2024 11:38 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Centre for Health Economics, University of York |
Series Name: | CHE Research Paper |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:136655 |
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