Elliott, EJR orcid.org/0000-0002-4387-7967 (2017) Probabilism, Representation Theorems, and Whether Deliberation Crowds out Prediction. Erkenntnis, 82 (2). pp. 379-399. ISSN 0165-0106
Abstract
Decision-theoretic representation theorems have been developed and appealed to in the service of two important philosophical projects: (i) in attempts to characterise credences in terms of preferences, and (ii) in arguments for probabilism. Theorems developed within the formal framework that Savage developed have played an especially prominent role here. I argue that the use of these 'Savagean' theorems create significant difficulties for both projects, but particularly the latter. The origin of the problem directly relates to the question of whether we can have credences regarding acts currently under consideration and the consequences which depend on those acts; I argue that such credences are possible. Furthermore, I argue that attempts to use Jeffrey's non-Savagean theorem (and similar theorems) in the service of these two projects may not fare much better.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2016, Springer. This is an author produced version of a paper published in Erkenntnis. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10670-016-9824-8 |
Keywords: | Representation Theorems; Probabilism; Savage; Jeffrey; Credences; Acts |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Arts, Humanities and Cultures (Leeds) > School of Philosophy, Religion and History of Science (Leeds) > School of Philosophy (Leeds) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number EU - European Union 312938 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 11 Jul 2016 12:03 |
Last Modified: | 01 Jul 2017 20:02 |
Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10670-016-9824-8 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Springer Verlag |
Identification Number: | 10.1007/s10670-016-9824-8 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:102257 |