Arzheimer, K and Evans, J (2016) Estimating polling accuracy in multi-party elections using surveybias. Stata Journal, 16 (1). pp. 139-158. ISSN 1536-867X
Abstract
Any rigorous discussion of bias in opinion surveys requires a scalar measure of survey accuracy. Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy (2005, Public Opinion Quarterly 69: 342–369) propose such a measure A for the two-party case, and Arzheimer and Evans (2014, Political Analysis 22: 31–44) demonstrate how measures A′i, B, and Bw for the more common multiparty case can be derived. We describe the commands surveybias, surveybiasi, and surveybiasseries, which enable the fast computation of these binomial and multinomial measures of bias in opinion surveys. While the examples are based on pre-election surveys, the methodology applies to any multinomial variable whose true distribution in the population is known (for example, through census data).
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Keywords: | surveybias, surveybiasi, surveybiasseries, multinomial variables, surveys, survey bias |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Politics & International Studies (POLIS) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 16 Oct 2015 09:24 |
Last Modified: | 03 Nov 2016 02:21 |
Published Version: | http://www.stata-journal.com/article.html?article=... |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | StataCorp |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:90906 |