Cuestas, J.C., Filipozzi, F. and Staehr, K. (2015) Do Foreign Exchange Forecasters Believe in Uncovered Interest Parity? Economics Letters. ISSN 1873-7374
Abstract
Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) is typically rejected in empirical studies, but this letter finds nevertheless that Consensus Forecasts of the exchange rate for Central and Eastern European countries are based on UIP. When structural breaks are included, the forecasts are found to deviate from UIP in 2008-09 when financial markets were under severe stress.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2015 Elsevier B.V. This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in Economics Letters. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Forecasting; exchange rates; UIP; Eastern Europe; structural breaks |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Social Sciences (Sheffield) > Department of Economics (Sheffield) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Sheffield |
Date Deposited: | 02 Jun 2015 11:59 |
Last Modified: | 29 May 2018 00:38 |
Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.029 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.029 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:86449 |