Falloon, P, Challinor, AJ, Dessai, S et al. (3 more authors) (2013) Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 2. 33. ISSN 1540-9295
Abstract
The increasing use of multi-member climate model ensembles for making future climate impact assessments presents both opportunities for understanding uncertainties, and challenges for interpreting the results. We outline current approaches to assessing uncertainties in climate impacts, statistical methods for assessing uncertainties, issues regarding model integration and complexity, and ways in which uncertainty frameworks can be used to inform adaptation decisions, with case studies focused on agriculture. Finally, we highlight future research needs and provide recommendations for making further progress.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2014 Falloon, Challinor, Dessai, Hoang, Johnson and Koehler. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 12 Aug 2014 15:00 |
Last Modified: | 12 Aug 2014 15:00 |
Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2014.00033 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Ecological Society of America |
Identification Number: | 10.3389/fenvs.2014.00033 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:80076 |