From COP30 to Santa Marta: Defining Feasible Pathways for Fossil Fuel Phaseout

Abstract

The COP30 negotiations in Belém exposed the entrenched interests and political economy constraints at the heart of fossil fuel phaseout. This report analyses the coalitions and motivations shaping international positions on transition and identifies the economic, social and legal questions required to develop credible pathways for managed fossil fuel decline. Looking ahead to the Santa Marta conference, it explores how coordination among early-moving states may help articulate differentiated phaseout pathways capable of shaping the next phase of climate leadership.

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Item Type:	Monograph
Authors/Creators:	Beardsworth, R. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4252-3518 Garvey, A. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1538-8549 Johnson, E. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3830-5331
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information:	© 2026 The Authors and University of Leeds. This work is an open access publication distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Dates:	Published: April 2026
Institution:	The University of Leeds
Academic Units:	The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds)
Date Deposited:	13 Apr 2026 08:31
Last Modified:	13 Apr 2026 08:31
Status:	Published
Publisher:	University of Leeds
Identification Number:	10.48785/100/453
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID):	oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:239944

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From COP30 to Santa Marta: Defining Feasible Pathways for Fossil Fuel Phaseout

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