Baldwin, Kenneth and Alhalboni, Maryam orcid.org/0000-0001-8979-5724 (2025) Cash out or carry on:When bank runs build resilience. Economics Letters. 112581. ISSN: 0165-1765
Abstract
We integrate liquidity risk into a first passage time solvency model to measure the joint probability of bank default. Counterintuitively, we find that the interaction between liquidity and solvency risks can, under plausible conditions, lower the overall likelihood of default. This finding is significant to the supply of credit to the real economy, as it reduces the pressure on banks to scale back risk-taking by tightening lending conditions after negative liquidity shocks. As far as we know, our combined liquidity-solvency model is the first to demonstrate this stabilizing effect.
Metadata
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Authors/Creators: |
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| Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2025 The Author(s). |
| Keywords: | Bank run,Liquidity risk,Structural credit risk model,Probability of default,First passage time |
| Dates: |
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| Institution: | The University of York |
| Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > The York Management School |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Mar 2026 15:10 |
| Last Modified: | 20 Mar 2026 15:10 |
| Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112581 |
| Status: | Published |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112581 |
| Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:239368 |
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Description: Cash out or carry on: When bank runs build resilience
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