Adaptive Thermal Imaging Signal Analysis for Real-Time Non-Invasive Respiratory Rate Monitoring

(1) Background: This study presents an adaptive, contactless, and privacy-preserving respiratory-rate monitoring system based on thermal imaging, designed for real-time operation on embedded edge hardware. The system continuously processes temperature data from a compact thermal camera without external computation, enabling practical deployment for home or clinical vital-sign monitoring. (2) Methods: Thermal frames are captured using a 256×192 TOPDON TC001 camera and processed entirely on an NVIDIA Jetson Orin Nano. A YOLO-based detector localizes the nostril region in every even frame (stride = 2) to reduce the computation load, while a Kalman filter predicts the ROI position on skipped frames to maintain spatial continuity and suppress motion jitter. From the stabilized ROI, a temperature-based breathing signal is extracted and analyzed through an adaptive median-MAD hysteresis algorithm that dynamically adjusts to signal amplitude and noise variations for breathing phase detection. Respiratory rate (RR) is computed from inter-breath intervals (IBI) validated within physiological constraints. (3) Results: Ten healthy subjects participated in six experimental conditions including resting, paced breathing, speech, off-axis yaw, posture (supine), and distance variations up to 2.0 m. Across these conditions, the system attained a MAE of 0.57±0.36 BPM and an RMSE of 0.64±0.42 BPM, demonstrating stable accuracy under motion and thermal drift. Compared with peak-based and FFT spectral baselines, the proposed method reduced errors by a large margin across all conditions. (4) Conclusions: The findings confirm that accurate and robust respiratory-rate estimation can be achieved using a low-resolution thermal sensor running entirely on an embedded edge device. The combination of YOLO-based nostril detector, Kalman ROI prediction, and adaptive MAD-hysteresis phase that self-adjusts to signal variability provides a compact, efficient, and privacy-preserving solution for non-invasive vital-sign monitoring in real-world environments.