Factors influencing the technical efficiency of diabetes care at primary care level in Mexico

Diabetes prevalence is rising globally, especially in low- and middle-income countries like Mexico, posing challenges for healthcare systems that require efficient primary care to manage the disease. However, healthcare efficiency is influenced by factors beyond decision-makers, including socioeconomic and political conditions. This study aims to evaluate the technical efficiency of primary healthcare for diabetes patients in Mexico over a 12-year period and explore the impact of contextual variables on efficiency. A longitudinal analysis was conducted using administrative and socio-demographic data from 242 health jurisdictions between 2009 and 2020. Data envelopment analysis with bootstrapping and output orientation was used to measure the technical efficiency; health resources in infrastructure and human resources were used as inputs. As outcome, the number of patients receiving treatment for diabetes and the number of patients with controlled diabetes were considered. Machine learning algorithms were employed to analyse multiple factors affecting the provision of diabetes health services and assess heterogeneity and trends in efficiency across different health jurisdictions. The average technical efficiency in primary healthcare for diabetes patients was 0.44 (CI: 0.41-0.46) in 2009, reaching a peak of 0.71 (CI: 0.69-0.72) in 2016, and moderately declining to 0.60 (CI: 0.57-0.62) in 2020; these differences were statistically significant. The random forest analysis identified the marginalization index, primary healthcare coverage, proportion of indigenous population and demand for health services as the most influential variables in predicting efficiency levels. This research underscores the crucial need for the formulation of targeted public policies aimed at extending the scope of primary healthcare services, with a particular focus on addressing the unique challenges faced by marginalized and indigenous populations. According to our results, it is necessary that medical care management adjust to the specific demands and needs of these populations to guarantee equitable care in Mexico.