Huan, N., Hess, S. orcid.org/0000-0002-3650-2518, Yamamoto, T. et al. (1 more author) (2024) Modelling intermodal traveller behaviour in mega-city regions: simultaneous versus sequential estimation frameworks. Transportation. ISSN 0049-4488
Abstract
The sustained expansion of mega-city regions and the development of multimodal transport networks have catalysed intercity mobility, thereby restructuring regional travel demand patterns. This study aims to interpret the behaviour of intermodal travellers in a short-haul intercity context within mega-city regions. A comparative modelling framework, utilising both simultaneous and sequential estimation methods, is proposed based on stated preference survey data collected in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China. The simultaneous estimation framework examines the integrated measurement of the perceived utility of multiple stages of travel using cross-nested logit models. In contrast, the sequential estimation framework systematically investigates the bidirectional interactions associated with the intercity mode decision and decisions related to access and egress modes in a stepwise manner. The latter quantifies the accessibility of transport hubs and destinations to assess the implicit cost of feeder trips in the intercity mode decision. It validates the sequential impact on feeder mode choice preferences. In addition to identifying behavioural determinants, the models’ relative performance is assessed regarding behaviour prediction accuracy for diverse groups of travellers categorised by travel purpose, fellow traveller, baggage size, and travel frequency. Statistically, the weighted prediction errors for access, intercity, and egress mode choices are 1.12%, 1.33%, and 0.89% under the simultaneous estimation framework. In contrast, under the sequential estimation framework, these errors are reduced to 0.81%, 0.63%, and 0.50%, respectively. The results suggest the superior applicability of the latter in interpreting intermodal mobility patterns.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | This is an author produced version of an article published in Transportation, made available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Keywords: | Intercity travel; Mode choice; Cross-nested logit; Accessibility; Behaviour prediction; Urban agglomerations |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > Institute for Transport Studies (Leeds) > ITS: Choice Modelling |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 14 Oct 2024 15:14 |
Last Modified: | 14 Oct 2024 15:14 |
Status: | Published online |
Publisher: | Springer |
Identification Number: | 10.1007/s11116-024-10489-2 |
Sustainable Development Goals: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:218217 |