Baldissera Pacchetti, M. orcid.org/0000-0002-5867-6893, Coulter, L. orcid.org/0000-0002-8072-2534, Dessai, S. orcid.org/0000-0002-7879-9364 et al. (3 more authors) (2024) Varieties of approaches to constructing physical climate storylines: A review. WIREs Climate Change, 15 (2). e869. ISSN 1757-7780
Abstract
The physical climate storyline (PCS) approach is increasingly recognized by the physical climate research community as a tool to produce and communicate decision-relevant climate risk information. While PCS is generally understood as a single concept, different varieties of the approach are applied according to the aims and purposes of the PCS and the scientists that build them. To unpack this diversity of detail, this article gives an overview of key practices and assumptions of the PCS approach as developed by physical climate scientists, as well as their ties to similar approaches developed by the broader climate risk and adaptation research community. We first examine varieties of PCSs according to the length of the causal chain they explore, and the type of evidence used. We then describe how they incorporate counterfactual elements and the temporal perspective. Finally, we examine how value judgments are implicitly or explicitly included in the aims and construction of PCSs. We conclude the discussion by suggesting that the PCS approach can further mature in the way it incorporates the narrative element, in the way it incorporates value judgments, and in the way that the evidence chosen to build PCSs constrains what is considered plausible.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2023 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Keywords: | climate change; climate risk; counterfactual; methodology; physical climate storyline; storyline; value judgments |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Sustainability Research Institute (SRI) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 07 Mar 2024 14:54 |
Last Modified: | 15 Oct 2024 13:39 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Identification Number: | 10.1002/wcc.869 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:207065 |