Probst, C., Buckley, C. orcid.org/0000-0002-8430-0347, Lasserre, A.M. et al. (6 more authors) (2023) Simulation of alcohol control policies for health equity (SIMAH) project: study design and first results. American Journal of Epidemiology, 192 (5). pp. 690-702. ISSN 0002-9262
Abstract
Since about 2010, life expectancy at birth in the United States has stagnated and begun to decline, with concurrent increases in the socioeconomic divide in life expectancy. The Simulation of Alcohol Control Policies for Health Equity (SIMAH) Project uses a novel microsimulation approach to investigate the extent to which alcohol use, socioeconomic status (SES), and race/ethnicity contribute to unequal developments in US life expectancy and how alcohol control interventions could reduce such inequalities. Representative, secondary data from several sources will be integrated into one coherent, dynamic microsimulation to model life-course changes in SES and alcohol use and cause-specific mortality attributable to alcohol use by SES, race/ethnicity, age, and sex. Markov models will be used to inform transition intensities between levels of SES and drinking patterns. The model will be used to compare a baseline scenario with multiple counterfactual intervention scenarios. The preliminary results indicate that the crucial microsimulation component provides a good fit to observed demographic changes in the population, providing a robust baseline model for further simulation work. By demonstrating the feasibility of this novel approach, the SIMAH Project promises to offer superior integration of relevant empirical evidence to inform public health policy for a more equitable future.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © The Author(s) 2023. This is an author-produced version of a paper subsequently published in American Journal of Epidemiology. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Alcohol use; United States; alcohol policy; health equity; health policy; inequality; life expectancy; microsimulation; population health modelling; socioeconomic status |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Engineering (Sheffield) > Department of Automatic Control and Systems Engineering (Sheffield) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH - UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 3R01AA028009-03S1 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Sheffield |
Date Deposited: | 19 Apr 2023 10:42 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2024 09:05 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Oxford University Press (OUP) |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1093/aje/kwad018 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:198292 |