Wilkes, MA orcid.org/0000-0002-2420-0088, Carrivick, JL, Castella, E et al. (9 more authors) (2023) Glacier retreat reorganizes river habitats leaving refugia for Alpine invertebrate biodiversity poorly protected. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 7. pp. 841-851. ISSN 2397-334X
Abstract
Alpine river biodiversity around the world is under threat from glacier retreat driven by rapid warming, yet our ability to predict the future distributions of specialist cold-water species is currently limited. Here we link future glacier projections, hydrological routing methods and species distribution models to quantify the changing influence of glaciers on population distributions of 15 alpine river invertebrate species across the entire European Alps, from 2020 to 2100. Glacial influence on rivers is projected to decrease steadily, with river networks expanding into higher elevations at a rate of 1% per decade. Species are projected to undergo upstream distribution shifts where glaciers persist but become functionally extinct where glaciers disappear completely. Several alpine catchments are predicted to offer climate refugia for cold-water specialists. However, present-day protected area networks provide relatively poor coverage of these future refugia, suggesting that alpine conservation strategies must change to accommodate the future effects of global warming.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © The Author(s) under exclusive license to Springer Nature Limited 2023. This is an author produced version of an article published in Nature Ecology and Evolution. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Geography (Leeds) > Centre for Spatial Analysis & Policy (Leeds) The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Geography (Leeds) > River Basin Processes & Management (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 18 Apr 2023 09:43 |
Last Modified: | 04 Nov 2023 01:13 |
Published Version: | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-023-02061-5... |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Nature Research |
Identification Number: | 10.1038/s41559-023-02061-5 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:198271 |