Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change

Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Hutcherson, Cendri A. et al. (137 more authors) (2023) Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change. Nature Human Behaviour. ISSN 2397-3374

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Item Type: Article
Authors/Creators:
  • Grossmann, Igor
  • Rotella, Amanda
  • Hutcherson, Cendri A.
  • Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn
  • Varnum, Michael E. W.
  • Achter, Sebastian
  • Dhami, Mandeep K.
  • Guo, Xinqi Evie
  • Kara-Yakoubian, Mane
  • Mandel, David R.
  • Raes, Louis
  • Tay, Louis
  • Vie, Aymeric
  • Wagner, Lisa
  • Adamkovic, Matus
  • Arami, Arash
  • Arriaga, Patrícia
  • Bandara, Kasun
  • Baník, Gabriel
  • Bartoš, František
  • Baskin, Ernest
  • Bergmeir, Christoph
  • Białek, Michał
  • Børsting, Caroline K.
  • Browne, Dillon T.
  • Caruso, Eugene M.
  • Chen, Rong
  • Chie, Bin-Tzong
  • Chopik, William J.
  • Collins, Robert N.
  • Cong, Chin W.
  • Conway, Lucian G.
  • Davis, Matthew
  • Day, Martin V.
  • Dhaliwal, Nathan A.
  • Durham, Justin D.
  • Dziekan, Martyna
  • Elbaek, Christian T.
  • Shuman, Eric
  • Fabrykant, Marharyta
  • Firat, Mustafa
  • Fong, Geoffrey T.
  • Frimer, Jeremy A.
  • Gallegos, Jonathan M.
  • Goldberg, Simon B.
  • Gollwitzer, Anton
  • Goyal, Julia
  • Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz
  • Gronlund, Scott D.
  • Hafenbrädl, Sebastian
  • Hartanto, Andree
  • Hirshberg, Matthew J.
  • Hornsey, Matthew J.
  • Howe, Piers D. L.
  • Izadi, Anoosha
  • Jaeger, Bastian
  • Kačmár, Pavol
  • Kim, Yeun Joon
  • Krenzler, Ruslan
  • Lannin, Daniel G.
  • Lin, Hung-Wen
  • Lou, Nigel Mantou
  • Lua, Verity Y. Q.
  • Lukaszewski, Aaron W.
  • Ly, Albert L.
  • Madan, Christopher R.
  • Maier, Maximilian
  • Majeed, Nadyanna M.
  • March, David S.
  • Marsh, Abigail A.
  • Misiak, Michal
  • Myrseth, Kristian Ove Richter (kristian.myrseth@york.ac.uk)
  • Napan, Jaime M.
  • Nicholas, Jonathan
  • Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos
  • O, Jiaqing
  • Otterbring, Tobias
  • Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola
  • Pauer, Shiva
  • Protzko, John
  • Raffaelli, Quentin
  • Ropovik, Ivan
  • Ross, Robert M.
  • Roth, Yefim
  • Røysamb, Espen
  • Schnabel, Landon
  • Schütz, Astrid
  • Seifert, Matthias
  • Sevincer, A. Timur
  • Sherman, Garrick T.
  • Simonsson, Otto
  • Sung, Ming-Chien
  • Tai, Chung-Ching
  • Talhelm, Thomas
  • Teachman, Bethany A.
  • Tetlock, Philip E.
  • Thomakos, Dimitrios
  • Tse, Dwight C. K.
  • Twardus, Oliver J.
  • Tybur, Joshua M.
  • Ungar, Lyle
  • Vandermeulen, Daan
  • Williams, Leighton Vaughan
  • Vosgerichian, Hrag A.
  • Wang, Qi
  • Wang, Ke
  • Whiting, Mark E.
  • Wollbrant, Conny E.
  • Yang, Tao
  • Yogeeswaran, Kumar
  • Yoon, Sangsuk
  • Alves, Ventura R.
  • Andrews-Hanna, Jessica R.
  • Bloom, Paul A.
  • Boyles, Anthony
  • Charis, Loo
  • Choi, Mingyeong
  • Darling-Hammond, Sean
  • Ferguson, Zoe E.
  • Kaiser, Cheryl R.
  • Karg, Simon T.
  • Ortega, Alberto López
  • Mahoney, Lori
  • Marsh, Melvin S.
  • Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C.
  • Michaels, Eli K.
  • Millroth, Philip
  • Naqvi, Jeanean B.
  • Ng, Weiting
  • Rutledge, Robb B.
  • Slattery, Peter
  • Smiley, Adam H.
  • Strijbis, Oliver
  • Sznycer, Daniel
  • Tsukayama, Eli
  • van Loon, Austin
  • Voelkel, Jan G.
  • Wienk, Margaux N. A.
  • Wilkening, Tom
  • The Forecasting Collaborative
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information:

This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details

Dates:
  • Published (online): 9 February 2023
  • Accepted: 19 December 2022
Institution: The University of York
Academic Units: The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > The York Management School
Depositing User: Pure (York)
Date Deposited: 20 Dec 2022 12:10
Last Modified: 08 Feb 2025 00:48
Published Version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Status: Published online
Refereed: Yes
Identification Number: 10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID):

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