Dunn, K and Thornton, JR (2022) Brexit, beliefs about immigration, and satisfaction with democracy. Electoral Studies, 80. 102556. ISSN 0261-3794
Abstract
We examine the relationships among beliefs about immigration, vote choice, and satisfaction with democracy against the backdrop of the Brexit vote. Utilizing panel data across four waves—two pre- and two post-referendum—we estimate the effect of vote choice on satisfaction with democracy. Given the salience of beliefs about immigration before and during the campaign, we further examine the relationship between such beliefs and satisfaction and if that relationship is altered by the referendum's outcome. We find negative beliefs were associated with lower levels of satisfaction before the referendum but that the reverse is true once Leave won. Given the nature of our data, we are reasonably confident we have identified a causal impact on election outcome and these changes. Finally, we demonstrate that vote choice mediates the relationship between beliefs about immigration and satisfaction, suggesting a larger relationship between policy-relevant attitudes and satisfaction than is often contemplated.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. This is an author produced version of a article published in Electoral Studies. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Politics & International Studies (POLIS) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 05 Dec 2022 16:44 |
Last Modified: | 18 May 2024 00:13 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102556 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:193557 |
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