Quinn, C orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-0446, Carrie, R orcid.org/0000-0002-5780-4304, Chapman, S et al. (4 more authors) (2020) Rapid Climate Risk Assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) Region. Report. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
Abstract
This rapid climate risk assessment for the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) uses the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2014 risk analysis framework to assess the distribution of climate hazards and social and biophysical vulnerability to those hazards in order to identify climate risk hotspots. The assessment uses regional climate models from CORDEX-Africa to map rainfall extremes and drought hazards to 2031–2059. Ten social and biophysical vulnerability indicators are identified from across the capital assets (human, physical, social, financial, natural), using data from the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), to develop a vulnerability index. The vulnerability index and distribution of climate hazards are mapped to identify hotspots. Hotspots of vulnerability to and risk of extreme rainfall are shown in northern Madagascar and in south west Tanzania, under both the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. These hotspots also correspond to the hotspots for drought risk under RCP4.5 and 8.5. However, it is clear that medium-high climate risk (high vulnerability, medium-high climate hazard) is widespread across Angola, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Tanzania, Mozambique, and Madagascar.
Metadata
Item Type: | Monograph |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2020 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution – NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Sustainability Research Institute (SRI) (Leeds) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number BBSRC (Biotechnology & Biological Sciences Research Council) BB/P027784/1 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 20 Apr 2022 15:07 |
Last Modified: | 20 Apr 2022 15:07 |
Published Version: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/109192 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:185738 |