Nieto, Jaime, Pollitt, Hector, Brockway, Paul E. et al. (3 more authors) (2021) Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030. Energy policy. 112556. ISSN 0301-4215
Abstract
For the period since 2011, the UK has been bound by European Union (EU) legislation regarding energy reduction targets to 2020. As of 2019, the UK had reduced its final energy use by 18% against a baseline projection to 2020, on track to meet its target of 18%. Whilst the rest of the EU-27 now set their own energy reduction targets to 2030, upon leaving the EU via Brexit, the UK is now free to choose its own energy targets. But what should the energy target be for 2030, and what are the socio-macroeconomic impacts and policy implications? To address this, we use two econometric energy-economy models to assess three different levels of energy reduction target, with 27%, 33% and 40% reduction in 2030 versus the baseline model projections. We find the strictest (40%) energy reduction target could deliver the largest economic and employment benefits. However, careful attention to policies are required, to ensure improvements to overall economy-wide energy efficiency whilst minimising rebound. Demand-side policies of serious scale within an ‘avoid-shift-improve’ framework are required, including massive building retrofits, significant improvements to industrial energy efficiency, switching to low energy transport modes, and moving away from meat-based diets.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2021 The Authors. |
Keywords: | energy target,UK,Energy Policy,Energy modelling,Energy Efficiency,demand-side reduction |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Environment and Geography (York) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number EPSRC EP/R035288/1 |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 24 Sep 2021 09:00 |
Last Modified: | 26 Nov 2024 00:51 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112556 |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112556 |
Related URLs: | |
Sustainable Development Goals: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:178470 |
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Filename: published_paper.pdf
Description: Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030
Licence: CC-BY 2.5