Clark, S orcid.org/0000-0003-4090-6002 (2020) Who voted for a No Deal Brexit? A Composition Model of Great Britains 2019 European Parliamentary Elections. [Preprint - arXiv]
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to use the votes cast at the 2019 European elections held in United Kingdom to re-visit the analysis conducted subsequent to its 2016 European Union referendum vote. This exercise provides a staging post on public opinion as the United Kingdom moves to leave the European Union during 2020. A composition data analysis in a seemingly unrelated regression framework is adopted that respects the compositional nature of the vote outcome; each outcome is a share that adds up to 100% and each outcome is related to the alternatives. Contemporary explanatory data for each counting area is sourced from the themes of socio-demographics, employment, life satisfaction and place. The study find that there are still strong and stark divisions in the United Kingdom, defined by age, qualifications, employment and place. The use of a compositional analysis approach produces challenges in regards to the interpretation of these models, but marginal plots are seen to aid the interpretation somewhat.
Metadata
Item Type: | Preprint |
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Authors/Creators: | |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Geography (Leeds) > Centre for Spatial Analysis & Policy (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 08 Nov 2024 11:37 |
Last Modified: | 08 Nov 2024 11:37 |
Identification Number: | 10.48550/arXiv.2001.06548 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:163510 |