Singto, C, Fleskens, L, Vos, J et al. (1 more author) (2020) Applying Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) with stakeholders to explore and codesign options for water resource interventions. Sustainable Water Resources Management, 6 (2). 23. ISSN 2363-5037
Abstract
Bayesian Belief networks (BBNs) are a useful tool to account for uncertainty and can be used to incorporate stakeholder understandings of how a system works. In this study, BBNs were applied to elicit and discuss local stakeholders’ concerns in conflicts over water resource planning in two cases in southern Thailand. One concerned the construction of a dam proposed by a top-down project. The other concerned a bottom-up participatory process at the catchment scale to assess the need for water resources interventions and explore perceptions on alternative design options. In the top-down project, the responses of participants during the elaboration of the BBN showed that potentially affected stakeholders were particularly concerned about limited consultation and lack of shared benefits, which led them to oppose the dam project. In the bottom-up project, local stakeholders expected and agreed with the benefits of a dam, proposing to locate the dam upstream of community land. The BBN method did not facilitate dialogue in the top-down dam-building project because no alternative design options could be discussed and potentially affected stakeholders did not want to discuss compensation because of mistrust and differences in valuation of effects. In the bottom-up project, the BBN method did facilitate dialogue on alternative intervention options and their effects. The replicable BBN framework can support policy-makers to better understand water conflict situations in different stages of planning. Its application supports exploring a wider repertoire of options, enlarging the scope for more inclusive and sustainable solutions to water resource conflicts.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Authors/Creators: |
|
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2020, Springer Nature. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) |
Keywords: | Bayesian belief network; Water resources planning; Stakeholder involvement; Conflicts; Policymakers |
Dates: |
|
Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Sustainability Research Institute (SRI) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 27 Mar 2020 15:35 |
Last Modified: | 27 Mar 2020 15:35 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Springer Nature |
Identification Number: | 10.1007/s40899-020-00383-x |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:158827 |
Download
Filename: Singto2020_Article_ApplyingBayesianBeliefNetworks.pdf
Licence: CC-BY 4.0