Fingleton, B., Olner, D. and Pryce, G. orcid.org/0000-0002-4380-0388 (2020) Estimating the local employment impacts of immigration : a dynamic spatial panel model. Urban Studies, 57 (13). pp. 2646-2662. ISSN 0042-0980
Abstract
This paper highlights a number of important gaps in the UK evidence base on the employment impacts of immigration, namely: (i) the lack of research on the local impacts of immigration - existing studies only estimate the impact for the country as a whole; (ii) the absence of long term estimates –research has focussed on relatively short time spans – there are no estimates of the impact over several decades, for example; (iii) the tendency to ignore spatial dependence of employment which can bias the results and distort inference - there are no robust spatial econometric estimates we are aware of. We aim to address these shortcomings by creating a unique dataset of linked Census geographies spanning 5 Censuses since 1971. These yield a large enough sample to estimate the local impacts of immigration using a novel spatial panel model which controls for endogenous selection effects arising from migrants being attracted to high-employment areas. We illustrate our approach with an application to London and find that no migrant group has a statistically significant long-term negative effect on employment. EU migrants are found to have a significant positive impact. Our approach opens up a new avenue of inquiry into sub-national variations in the impacts of immigration on employment.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2019 Urban Studies Journal Limited. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage). |
Keywords: | demographics; diversity/cohesion/segregation; employment/labour; lump of labour fallacy; migration; race/ethnicity; spatial panel models |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Social Sciences (Sheffield) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) ES/L011921/1; ES/P009301/1 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Sheffield |
Date Deposited: | 24 Oct 2019 09:39 |
Last Modified: | 30 Apr 2021 12:23 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | SAGE Publications |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1177/0042098019887916 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:152614 |