Khosravi, F orcid.org/0000-0002-3453-1729 and Jha-Thakur, U (2018) Managing uncertainties through scenario analysis in strategic environmental assessment. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 62 (6). pp. 979-1000. ISSN 0964-0568
Abstract
Planning for the future is uncertain, and scenario analysis is a method of coping with the uncertainties of future plans. This paper addresses how to deal with future uncertainties by using scenario analysis as a possible approach for conducting a strategic environmental assessment (SEA). Although scenario-based approaches have been linked to strategic planning and SEA, this paper for the first time proposes how a combined approach may be implemented using specific tools and methodologies and, further on, it also implements the first three stages of the six stages proposed for the ‘scenario-based strategic planning’ approach. This work is an attempt to standardize SEA and scenario analysis as a combined approach. The three stages are tested within the Tourism Development Plan of the Iranian province of Gilan, which has been selected as a case study.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Keywords: | tourism planning; strategic environmental assessment (SEA); scenario analysis; sustainable tourism; Iran |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds) > Sustainability Research Institute (SRI) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 18 Sep 2019 09:43 |
Last Modified: | 18 Sep 2019 09:43 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Taylor & Francis |
Identification Number: | 10.1080/09640568.2018.1456913 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:150910 |