Probert, James, Parr, Kate, Holdo, Ricardo M. et al. (9 more authors) (2019) Anthropogenic modifications to fire regimes in the wider Serengeti-Mara ecosystem. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1354-1013
Abstract
Fire is a key driver in savannah systems and widely used as a land management tool. Intensifying human land uses are leading to rapid changes in the fire regimes, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and composition. We undertake a novel analysis describing spatial patterns in the fire regime of the Serengeti-Mara ecosystem, document multidecadal temporal changes, and investigate the factors underlying these patterns. We used MODIS active fire and burned area products from 2001-2014 to identify individual fires; summarising four characteristics for each detected fire: size, ignition date, time since last fire, and radiative power. Using satellite imagery, we estimated the rate of change in the density of livestock bomas as a proxy for livestock density. We used these metrics to model drivers of variation in the four fire characteristics, as well as total number of fires and total area burned. Fires in the Serengeti-Mara show high spatial variability - with number of fires and ignition date mirroring mean annual precipitation. The short term effect of rainfall decreases fire size and intensity but cumulative rainfall over several years leads to increased standing grass biomass and fuel loads, and therefore in larger and hotter fires. Our study reveals dramatic changes over time, with a reduction in total number of fires and total area burned. We suggest that increasing livestock numbers are driving this decline, presumably by inhibiting fire spread. Fire plays a crucial role in modulating spatial heterogeneity and in savannahs and some areas now experience virtually no fire. These temporal patterns are part of a global decline in total area burned, especially in savannahs, and we caution that healthy ecosystem functioning may have been compromised. Land managers and policy formulators need to factor in rapid fire regime modifications to achieve management objectives and maintain the integrity of savannah ecosystems
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2019 The Authors |
Keywords: | Serengeti,conservation,fire regime,management,overgrazing,protected areas,savannah |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Biology (York) |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 14 Jun 2019 10:20 |
Last Modified: | 20 Dec 2024 00:16 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14711 |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1111/gcb.14711 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:147362 |
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Filename: Probert_et_al_2019_Global_Change_Biology.pdf
Description: Anthropogenic modifications to fire regimes in the wider Serengeti‐Mara ecosystem
Licence: CC-BY 2.5