Associations of pigmentary and naevus phenotype with melanoma risk in two populations with comparable ancestry but contrasting levels of ambient sun exposure

Background

People at high risk of developing melanoma are usually identified by pigmentary and naevus phenotypes.

Objective

We examined whether associations of these phenotypes with melanoma risk differed by ambient sun exposure or participant characteristics in two population‐based, case‐control studies with comparable ancestry but different ambient sun exposure.

Methods

Data were analysed from 616 cases and 496 controls from the Australian Melanoma Family Study and 2,012 cases and 504 controls from the Leeds (UK) case‐control study. Questionnaire, interview and dermatological skin examination data were collected using the same measurement protocols. Relative risks were estimated as odds ratios using unconditional logistic regression, adjusted for potential confounders.

Results

Hair and skin colour were the strongest pigmentary phenotype risk factors. All associations of pigmentary phenotype with melanoma risk were similar across countries. The median number of clinically assessed naevi was approximately three times higher in Australia than Leeds, but the relative risks for melanoma associated with each additional common or dysplastic naevus was higher for Leeds than Australia, especially for naevi on the upper and lower limbs. Higher naevus counts on the head and neck were associated with a stronger relative risk for melanoma for women than men. The two countries had similar relative risks for melanoma based on self‐reported naevus density categories, but personal perceptions of naevus number differed by country. There was no consistent evidence of interactions between phenotypes on risk.

Conclusions

Classifying people at high risk of melanoma based on their number of naevi should ideally take into account their country of residence, type of counts (clinical or self‐reported), body site on which the naevus counts are measured, and sex. The presence of naevi may be a stronger indicator of a genetic predisposition in the UK than in Australia based on less opportunity for sun exposure to influence naevus development.