Prestemon, Jeffrey P, Butry, David, Chas-Amil, Dr et al. (1 more author) (2019) Net Reductions or Spatiotemporal Displacement of Intentional Wildfires in Response to Arrests? Evidence from Spain. International Journal of Wildland Fire. pp. 397-411. ISSN 1448-5516
Abstract
Research to date has not examined how the impacts of arrests manifest across space and time in environmental crimes. We evaluate whether arrests reduce or merely spatiotemporally displace intentional illegal outdoor firesetting. Using municipality-level daily wildfire count data from Galicia, Spain, from 1999 to 2014, we develop daily spatiotemporal ignition count models of agricultural, non-agricultural and total intentional illegal wildfires as functions of spatiotemporally lagged arrests, the election cycle, seasonal and day indicators, meteorological factors and socioeconomic variables. We find evidence that arrests reduce future intentional illegal fires across space in subsequent time periods.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | Publisher Copyright: © 2019 Journal compilation © IAWF 2019 Open Access. |
Keywords: | arson,autoregression,elections,negative binomial,panel data,spatiotemporal,zero inflation |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Environment and Geography (York) The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > Social Policy and Social Work (York) > York Environmental Sustainability Institute |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 17 Apr 2019 09:30 |
Last Modified: | 05 Jan 2025 00:22 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1071/WF18234 |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1071/WF18234 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:145139 |
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