Madeira, Carlos and Rodrigues Madeira, Joao Antonio orcid.org/0000-0002-7380-9009 (2019) The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets. Review of economics and statistics. pp. 921-932. ISSN 0034-6535
Abstract
This article shows that since votes of FOMC members have been included in press statements, stock prices increase after the announcement when votes are unanimous but fall when dissent (which typically is due to preference for higher interest rates) occurs. This pattern started prior to the 2007--2008 financial crisis. The differences in stock market reaction between unanimity and dissent remain even controlling for the stance of monetary policy and consecutive dissent. Statement semantics also do not seem to explain the documented effect. We find no differences between unanimity and dissent with respect to impact on market risk and Treasury securities.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2018 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. This is an author-produced version of the published paper. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher’s self-archiving policy. Further copying may not be permitted; contact the publisher for details. |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York > Faculty of Social Sciences (York) > Economics and Related Studies (York) |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 05 Sep 2018 14:50 |
Last Modified: | 09 Apr 2025 23:19 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00770 |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1162/rest_a_00770 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:135325 |