Beyer, HL, Kennedy, EV, Beger, M et al. (18 more authors) (2018) Risk‐sensitive planning for conserving coral reefs under rapid climate change. Conservation Letters, 11 (6). e12587. ISSN 1755-263X
Abstract
Coral reef ecosystems are seriously threatened by changing conditions in the ocean. Although many factors are implicated, climate change has emerged as a dominant and rapidly growing threat. Developing a long‐term strategic plan for the conservation of coral reefs is urgently needed yet is complicated by significant uncertainty associated with climate change impacts on coral reef ecosystems. We use Modern Portfolio Theory to identify coral reef locations globally that, in the absence of other impacts, are likely to have a heightened chance of surviving projected climate changes relative to other reefs. Long‐term planning that is robust to uncertainty in future conditions provides an objective and transparent framework for guiding conservation action and strategic investment. These locations constitute important opportunities for novel conservation investments to secure less vulnerable yet well‐connected coral reefs that may, in turn, help to repopulate degraded areas in the event that the climate has stabilized.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2018 The Authors. Conservation Letters published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 747102. |
Keywords: | climate change, connectivity, conservation, coral reef, cyclone, global, ocean warming, optimization, plan-ning, portfolio theory |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Biological Sciences (Leeds) > School of Biology (Leeds) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number EU - European Union 747102 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 04 Jul 2018 13:36 |
Last Modified: | 30 Mar 2020 14:52 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Identification Number: | 10.1111/conl.12587 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:132849 |