Perraton, J.R. orcid.org/0000-0003-3743-6847 and Spreafico, M.R.M. (2019) Paying our way in the world? Visible and invisible dangers of Brexit. New Political Economy, 24 (2). pp. 272-285. ISSN 1356-3467
Abstract
The UK economy has long been associated with a weak balance of payments, reflecting an underlying growth model reliant on private household consumption. A deficit in goods trade, chiefly with the EU, has been offset by surpluses in services trade and foreign investment earnings. The Single Market provided wider markets for the UK, but did not fundamentally alter Britain’s structural weaknesses. The Brexit vote took place against the background of Britain running its largest peacetime current account deficit. Financing Britain’s external position represents a key challenge post-Brexit. Post-Brexit models for Britain partially address this. Any emergent model will critically depend on the nature of the Brexit deal with the EU, not least in terms of the impact on financial services and on supply chains. This paper sets out the recent evolution of the UK’s current account position, particularly in relation to the EU. It then highlights particular areas of potential disruption from Brexit and sketches out scenarios of possible evolution of the Britain’s external position in response to this.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2018 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in New Political Economy. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Brexit; balance of payments; British growth model |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Social Sciences (Sheffield) > Department of Economics (Sheffield) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Sheffield |
Date Deposited: | 17 May 2018 14:32 |
Last Modified: | 02 Dec 2020 09:34 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Taylor & Francis |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1080/13563467.2018.1484718 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:130811 |