Khan, S.A., Pilakoutas, K. orcid.org/0000-0001-6672-7665, Hajirasouliha, I. orcid.org/0000-0003-2597-8200 et al. (2 more authors) (2018) Seismic risk assessment for developing countries: Pakistan as a case study. Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration, 17 (4). pp. 787-804. ISSN 1671-3664
Abstract
Modern Earthquake Risk Assessment (ERA) methods usually require seismo-tectonic information for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) that may not be readily available in developing countries. To bypass this drawback, this paper presents a practical event-based PSHA method that uses instrumental seismicity, available historical seismicity, as well as limited information on geology and tectonic setting. Historical seismicity is integrated with instrumental seismicity to determine the long-term hazard. The tectonic setting is included by assigning seismic source zones associated with known major faults. Monte Carlo simulations are used to generate earthquake catalogues with randomized key hazard parameters. A case study region in Pakistan is selected to demonstrate the effectiveness of the method. The results indicate that the proposed method produces seismic hazard maps consistent with previous studies, thus being suitable for generating such maps in regions where limited data are available. The PSHA procedure is developed as an integral part of an ERA framework named EQRAM. The framework is also used to determine seismic risk in terms of annual losses for the study region.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018. This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. The final publication is available at Springer via https://doi.org/10.1007/s11803-018-0476-3. |
Keywords: | risk management; seismic hazard assessment; developing countries; Pakistan |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Sheffield |
Academic Units: | The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Engineering (Sheffield) > Department of Civil and Structural Engineering (Sheffield) |
Funding Information: | Funder Grant number ENGINEERING AND PHYSICAL SCIENCE RESEARCH COUNCIL (EPSRC) EP/P010016/1 |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Sheffield |
Date Deposited: | 20 Apr 2018 09:37 |
Last Modified: | 13 Oct 2019 00:38 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11803-018-0476-3 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Springer Verlag |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1007/s11803-018-0476-3 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:129645 |