Jeffery, D, Heppell, T orcid.org/0000-0001-9851-6993, Hayton, R orcid.org/0000-0002-9899-0035 et al. (1 more author) (2018) The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 2016: An Analysis of the Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians. Parliamentary Affairs, 71 (2). pp. 263-282. ISSN 0031-2290
Abstract
This article provides the first systematic examination of the voting motivations of Conservative MPs in the final parliamentary ballot of the Conservative Party leadership election of 2016. We identify the voting behaviour of each Conservative parliamentarian as part of a unique data set that we use to test, through the use of multivariate analysis, a series of hypotheses based around social background variables (i.e. gender and education); political variables (i.e. parliamentary experience, electoral marginality, the electoral threat posed by UKIP and ministerial status); and ideological variables (i.e. attitudes towards same-sex marriage and Brexit). Our findings demonstrate that ideology did matter in terms of voting. Attitudes towards Brexit were central to the appeals of both Theresa May (to Remainers) and Andrea Leadsom (to Leavers). We also demonstrate that in terms of support for Leadsom, Brexit was not the only significant driver, as opinion on same-sex marriage, year of entry and ministerial status also influenced voting behaviour.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2017, The Author. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Hansard Society. This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced PDF of an article published in Parliamentary Affairs following peer review. The version of record: David Jeffery, Tim Heppell, Richard Hayton, Andrew Crines; The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 2016: An Analysis of the Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians, Parliamentary Affairs, Volume 71, Issue 2, 1 April 2018, Pages 263–282, https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsx027 is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsx027 |
Keywords: | Conservative Party, Leadership Elections, Parliamentary Behaviour, Theresa May, Brexit |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Politics & International Studies (POLIS) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 07 Aug 2017 12:18 |
Last Modified: | 28 Aug 2019 00:42 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Oxford University Press |
Identification Number: | 10.1093/pa/gsx027 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:119844 |