Frank, R, Brantingham, PL and Farrell, G orcid.org/0000-0002-3987-8457 (2012) Estimating the True Rate of Repeat Victimization from Police Recorded Crime Data: A Study of Burglary in Metro Vancouver. Canadian Journal of Criminology and Criminal Justice, 54 (4). pp. 481-494. ISSN 1707-7753
Abstract
Predictive policing seeks to allocate scarce resources where and when they are most needed. Yet analysis is often based on recorded crime data that typically understate the concentration of crime at the same places or against the same people. This study outlines a means of developing more accurate estimates, termed the Recorded Repeats Adjustment Calculator (RRAC), and applies it to burglary data for Metro Vancouver. Whereas repeat burglaries constituted 20% of recorded burglaries, after adjustment they were half of burglaries. Moreover, households with five or more burglaries accounted for less than 1% of recorded but, after adjustment, one in five actual burglaries (21%). These results are closer to those found by crime victim surveys but still likely to be conservative. The study aspires to produce a tool for analysts that produces more accurate information on crime's concentration and, thereby, more informed crime control efforts.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Keywords: | crime concentration, repeat victimization, super-targets, predictive policing, crime prevention, Recorded Repeats Adjustment Calculator |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Law (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 08 Sep 2017 14:35 |
Last Modified: | 08 Sep 2017 14:35 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | University of Toronto Press |
Identification Number: | 10.3138/cjccj.2011.E.48 |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:116388 |