Evans, J orcid.org/0000-0001-8335-9630, Arzheimer, K, Campbell, R et al. (1 more author) (2017) Candidate localness and voter choice in the 2015 General Election in England. Political Geography, 59. pp. 61-71. ISSN 0962-6298
Abstract
Previous research has demonstrated a significant relationship between the geographical distance from a voter to a candidate and the likelihood of the voter choosing that candidate. However, models of this relationship may be mis- or under-specified, by not taking into account voters’ perceptions of distance or not controlling for other possible factors related to a candidate’s ‘localness’ which may influence vote choice. Using a two-wave panel survey carried out during the 2015 UK General Election, this article tests a more fully specified alternative-specific multinomial probit model of candidate-voter distance. We show that, although the effect size is smaller than in previous tests, candidate-voter distance mattered in the 2015 General Election, an effect that is robust to controls not only for party support and incumbency, as previous research had demonstrated, but also to measures of voter information, candidate presence and marginality. We also find that contiguity mattered: candidates living in non-neighbouring constituencies have a lower likelihood of vote than those living in neighbouring constituencies or in the constituency itself.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. This is an author produced version of a paper published in Political Geography. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. |
Keywords: | Voting; England; Spatial location; Candidates; Voter information |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of Leeds |
Academic Units: | The University of Leeds > Faculty of Education, Social Sciences and Law (Leeds) > School of Politics & International Studies (POLIS) (Leeds) |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Publications |
Date Deposited: | 17 Feb 2017 10:08 |
Last Modified: | 14 Mar 2019 01:38 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.02.009 |
Status: | Published |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.02.009 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:112489 |