Hausfather, Zeke, Cowtan, Kevin orcid.org/0000-0002-0189-1437, Clarke, David C. et al. (3 more authors) (2017) Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records. Science Advances. e1601207. pp. 1-13. ISSN 2375-2548
Abstract
Sea surface temperature (SST) records are subject to potential biases due to changing instrumentation and measurement practices. Significant differences exist between commonly used composite SST reconstructions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Extended Reconstruction Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST), the Hadley Centre SST data set (HadSST3), and the Japanese Meteorological Agency’s Centennial Observation-Based Estimates of SSTs (COBE-SST) from 2003 to the present. The update from ERSST version 3b to version 4 resulted in an increase in the operational SST trend estimate during the last 19 years from 0.07° to 0.12°C per decade, indicating a higher rate of warming in recent years. We show that ERSST version 4 trends generally agree with largely independent, near-global, and instrumentally homogeneous SST measurements from floating buoys, Argo floats, and radiometer-based satellite measurements that have been developed and deployed during the past two decades. We find a large cooling bias in ERSST version 3b and smaller but significant cooling biases in HadSST3 and COBE-SST from 2003 to the present, with respect to most series examined. These results suggest that reported rates of SST warming in recent years have been underestimated in these three data sets.
Metadata
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: |
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Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: | 2017 © The Authors. |
Dates: |
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Institution: | The University of York |
Academic Units: | The University of York The University of York > Faculty of Sciences (York) > Chemistry (York) |
Depositing User: | Pure (York) |
Date Deposited: | 10 Jan 2017 10:10 |
Last Modified: | 16 Oct 2024 13:30 |
Published Version: | https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1601207 |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Identification Number: | 10.1126/sciadv.1601207 |
Related URLs: | |
Open Archives Initiative ID (OAI ID): | oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:110340 |