The Impact of Fine-scale Reservoir Geometries on Streamline Flow Patterns in Submarine Lobe Deposits Using Outcrop Analogues from the Karoo Basin

Improved prediction of the recovery of oil-in-place in basin-floor fan reservoirs requires accurate characterisation and modelling of multiscale heterogeneities. The use of outcrop analogues is a key tool to augment this process by documenting and quantifying sedimentary architecture, hierarchy, and sedimentary facies relationships. A 3D geological modelling workflow is presented that tests the impact of fine-scale heterogeneities within basin-floor lobe complexes on reservoir connectivity. Construction of geological models of a basin-floor lobe complex allows realistic depositional architecture and facies distributions to be captured. Additionally, detailed models are constructed from channelised areas within a basin-floor lobe complex. Petrophysical modelling and streamline analysis are employed to test the impact on reservoir connectivity between lobe models with i) vertically-stacked facies with coarsening- and thickening-upwards trends in all locations, and ii) lateral facies changes with dimensions and distributions constrained from outcrop data. The findings show that differences in facies architecture, and in particular lobe-on-lobe amalgamation, have a significant impact on connectivity and macroscopic sweep efficiency, which influence the production results. Channelised lobe areas are less predictable reservoir targets due to uncertainties associated with channel-fill heterogeneities. The use of deterministic sedimentary architecture concepts and facies relationships have proven vital in the accurate modelling of reservoir heterogeneities.