Unveiling the potential for artificial upwelling in algae derived carbon sink and nutrient mitigation

Mariculture algae may present a crucial part of ocean-based solutions for climate change, with the ability to sequester carbon and remove nutrients. However, the expansion of mariculture algae faces multiple challenges. Here, we measure the changes in algae derived carbon sinks and nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) removal between 2010 and 2020 in Shandong Province, China. We further identify the key driving factors, namely area, algal species proportion, and yield, that influence the changes. The results show that algae derived carbon sinks and nutrient removal growth rates in Shandong Province have slowed significantly since 2014, mainly due to area limitations, laver-oriented species change, and unstable yields. Artificial upwelling (AU) has the potential to enhance the yield and subsequently offset the loss of carbon sinks and nutrient removal caused by negative driving factors. Scenario analysis indicates that a complete deployment of AU by 2030 will offset up to a 44.52% decrease in the mariculture algae area, or a 72.57% increase in the laver share of the algal species combination compared to 2020. Similar conclusions are reached regarding the role of AU in N and P removal. This study also identifies ancillary challenges such as low energy efficiency and high costs faced by applying AU.