An XGBoost Model for Age Prediction from COVID-19 Blood Test

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) in January 2020. Many studies found that some specific age groups of people have a higher risk of contracting the disease. The gold standard test for the disease is a condition-specific test based on Reverse-Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR). We have previously shown that the results of a standard suite of non-specific blood tests can be used to indicate the presence of a COVID-19 infection with a high likelihood. We continue our research in this area with a study of the connection between the patients’ routine blood test results and their age. Predicting a person’s age from blood chemistry is not new in health science. Most often, such results are used to detect the signs of diseases associated with aging and develop new medications. The experiment described here shows that the XGBoost algorithm can be used to predict the patients’ age from their routine blood tests. The performance evaluation is very satisfactory, with R2 > 0.80 and a normalized RMSE below 0.1.