Individual risk factors predictive of venous thromboembolism in patients with temporary lower limb immobilisation due to injury: a systematic review

BACKGROUND: Patients immobilised after lower limb injury are at risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). There is international variation in the use of thromboprophylaxis for such patients. Risk based strategies have been adopted to aid decision making in many settings. The accuracy of these strategies is unclear. OBJECTIVES: A systematic review was undertaken to identify all individual patient identifiable risk factors linked to any VTE outcome following lower limb immobilisation. METHODS: Several electronic databases were searched from inception to May 2017. Any studies which included a measurement of VTE patient outcome in adults requiring temporary immobilisation (e.g. leg cast or brace in an ambulatory setting) for an isolated lower limb injury and reported risk factor variables were included. Descriptive statistics and thematic analysis were used to synthesise the evidence. RESULTS: Our database search returned 4771 citations, of which 15 studies reporting outcome data on 80,678 patients were eligible for analysis. Risk factor associations were reported through regression analyses, non-parametric tests and descriptive statistics. All studies were assessed as at moderate or serious risk of bias using the ROBINS-I risk of bias tool. Advancing age and injury type were the only individual risk factors demonstrating a reproducible association with increased symptomatic and/or asymptomatic VTE rates. Several risk factors currently used in scoring tools did not appear to be robustly evaluated for subsequent association with VTE, within these studies. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians should be aware of the limited evidence to support individual risk factors in guiding thromboprophylaxis use for this patient cohort.