Sustainability of the ELV processing system in the Slovak Republic and forecasting of waste streams from the operation of passenger motor vehicles

Passenger cars have a significant impact on the environment throughout their lifecycle. In the paper, we focus on the forecasting of waste streams generated during the processing of end-of-life vehicles (ELV) in the Slovak Republic. Given the short historical time series, we build a forecasting framework which combines the time-series forecasting techniques with expert judgement methods. We present the forecasts of waste streams and the outlook trends until 2020. Our findings confirm that if the trends from the past years continue the existing system of ELV processing in the Slovak Republic will be able to meet the EU sustainability targets in terms of re-use, recycling and recovery rates. In addition, where possible, we provide the ex-post verification of the ex-ante forecasts and show the accuracy of the forecasting framework. At the same time, based on the expert judgement we present the forecasts of the waste streams generated annually during the maintenance of passenger cars in Slovak Republic.