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Personal Transport Emissions Within London: Exploring Policy Scenarios and Carbon Reductions up to 2050

Harwatt, HM, Tight, M and Timms, P (2011) Personal Transport Emissions Within London: Exploring Policy Scenarios and Carbon Reductions up to 2050. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 5 (5). 270 - 288 . ISSN 1556-8318

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Abstract

This research explored the possibility of achieving significant carbon reductions from personal land-based transport using London as a case study. A profile of carbon emissions from personal land-based transport modes was derived using Great Britain National Travel Survey (NTS) data and a range of carbon emissions factors. A carbon calculator provided carbon consumption per trip. NTS survey data were grossed up to national level using Census of Population data. A baseline of carbon emissions, based on equal per capita consumption, was projected to 2050 using estimates of future population. Four future scenarios were developed and tested using this data. These were: (a) based on the London Mayor's Climate Change Action Plan; (b) a technology focussed scenario; (c) a personal carbon trading scenario; and (d) a radical walking and cycling scenario. Results suggest that the latter two scenarios have the potential to achieve emissions reductions in excess of 80%, whilst scenarios (a) and (b) are somewhat weaker, though still achieve substantial reductions in carbon emissions compared to business as usual.

Item Type: Article
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: © 2011 Taylor & Francis. This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in International Journal of Sustainable Transportation. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.
Institution: The University of Leeds
Academic Units: The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > Institute for Transport Studies (Leeds)
Depositing User: Symplectic Publications
Date Deposited: 28 Sep 2011 10:52
Last Modified: 08 Feb 2013 17:35
Published Version: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1556831...
Status: Published
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Refereed: No
Identification Number: 10.1080/15568318.2010.506586
URI: http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/43288

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