Wang, W., Chen, H. and Bell, M.C. (2005) Vehicle Breakdown Duration Modelling. Journal of Transportation and Statistics, 8 (1). pp. 75-84. ISSN 1094-8848Full text available as:
Available under licence : See the attached licence file.
This paper analyzes the characteristics of vehicle breakdown duration and the relationship between the duration and vehicle type, time, location, and reporting mechanisms. Two models, one based on fuzzy logic (FL) and the other on artificial neural networks (ANN) were developed to predict the vehicle breakdown duration. One advantage of these methods is that few inputs are needed in the modeling. Moreover, the distribution of the duration does not affect the results of the prediction. Predictions were compared with the actual breakdown durations demonstrating that the ANN model performs better than the FL model. In addition, the paper advocates for a standard way to collect data to improve the accuracy of duration prediction.
|Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information:||This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in 'Journal of Transportation and Statistics' -published by the Bureau of Transport Statistics. Added in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.|
|Keywords:||traffic incident management, vehicle breakdown duration, fuzzy logic, neural networks|
|Institution:||The University of Leeds|
|Academic Units:||The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > Institute for Transport Studies (Leeds)|
|Depositing User:||Adrian May|
|Date Deposited:||15 Mar 2007|
|Last Modified:||20 Sep 2014 18:37|
|Publisher:||Bureau of Transport Statistics|