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Split-ticket patterns in mixed-member proportional election systems: estimates and analyses of their spatial variation at the German Federal Election, 1998

Gschwend, T., Johnston, R. and Pattie, C.J. (2003) Split-ticket patterns in mixed-member proportional election systems: estimates and analyses of their spatial variation at the German Federal Election, 1998. British Journal of Political Science, 33 (1). pp. 109-127. ISSN 0007-1234

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Abstract

Mixed-member proportional election systems give voters two choices – one for a party candidate in a first-past-the-post single-member constituency election and the other for a party list in a multi-member constituency. Some will vote a straight ticket (i.e. vote for the same party at each contest); others may vote a split-ticket. Although such an electoral system has been operating in Germany since 1953, very little work has been done on variations between constituencies in either the volume of split-ticket voting or the direction of the switching involved. Using an entropy-maximizing method, this article reports estimates of the pattern of straight-ticket and split-ticket voting in each of Germany's 328 constituencies at the 1998 federal elections.

Analyses of the variations show that the patterns are consistent with patterns of party strength at the constituency level: the stronger a party's performance at the 1994 election, the better its ability to retain the support of straight-ticket voters in 1998, to limit the out-flows of split-ticket voters, and to attract split-ticket voters who supported another party in the list contest.

Item Type: Article
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: © 2003 Cambridge University Press. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.
Academic Units: The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Social Sciences (Sheffield) > Department of Geography (Sheffield)
Depositing User: Repository Assistant
Date Deposited: 12 Sep 2006
Last Modified: 08 Feb 2013 16:50
Published Version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S000712340300005X
Status: Published
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Refereed: Yes
Identification Number: 10.1017/S000712340300005X
URI: http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/1560

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